Why Gaza Now?

November 20, 2012 at 6:24 pm | Posted in Enemies of Freedom | Leave a comment
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Map of Gaza Strip, Stand December 2008 (SVG version of File:Gaza Strip map.png by Lencer, adapted by Gringer)

Map of Gaza Strip, Stand December 2008 (SVG version of File:Gaza Strip map.png by Lencer, adapted by Gringer)

Why Gaza Now?

The timing is suspicious.

Israel had done nothing new to provoke Hamas.

Yet suddenly Hamas started firing rockets into Israel.  Hamas seems to be asking for a violent defensive reaction by Israel.

Why Gaza now?

Here is a guess: the primary instigators reside well north of Gaza.

Very large demonstration in Homs, Syria against Al Assad regime in the Syrian Uprising, 18 April 2011, photgraphed by Bo Yaser.

Very large demonstration in Homs, Syria against Al Assad regime in the Syrian Uprising, 18 April 2011, photgraphed by Bo Yaser.

The civil war in Syria has stressed Hezbollah and Iran, as well as Syria.  Hezbollah has developed a split between those within it who side with Assad and those within it who side with the rebellion.  Also, because Hezbollah had previously wholeheartedly sided with Assad, it has lost the support of large parts of the public in Lebanon, as well as elsewhere in the Arab world.  For the same reason, Iran has lost a lot of outside sympathy.

So the guess is that Hezbollah and Iran told Hamas to heat things up.

The goal was to divert attention away from Syria, Iran, and Lebanon, by drawing the world’s gaze towards Gaza and Israel.

The goal was also to reunite Hezbollah, by re-focusing on its traditional enemy.  The hope was also to thereby win back for Hezbollah some of the support of  the Lebanese public.

Evidence for this guess is contained in a headline to an article by Annne Gearan on page A9 in the November 20, 2012 print edition of the Washington Post: “Israel-Hamas fighting put U.S. at odds with Turkey, Egypt”.  (That was the headline in the print edition.  The headline in the online edition always differs from that in the print edition.)

Russia and China, too, must be delighted by the sucess of this new ploy.

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